Tag Archives: Canada

Why Australia’s New Pharma Cannabis Stock Bubble Will Burst in 2017 / 2018

11 July 2017
Melbourne, Australia
OPINION – WITH A GOOD DOSE OF REALITY

Facebook: www.bit.ly/twiw-tv
Twitter: @mr_internet
Email: loren @ loren.net.au

 

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Well, the top level story is pretty simple. The Australia government has created a new industry based on lies, deceit, and or lack of transparency. This has stimulated an industry wanting to capitalise on the new Australia Cannabis gold / green rush.

The only problem is investors risk losing greatly when global laws, like those in the USA, Canada, Jamaica, Portugal, Uruguay, South Africa, Mexico etc catch up to the Australian Government, with someof these bieng part of the Commonwealth of Nations.

Some are already in the Senate and due for a debate and vote soon, something the mainstream media (MSM) is ignoring.

Even perhaps the UN Acts that Australia is hiding behind are a risk, unlike the countries

mentioned above that either ignore the UN Acts, or simply make amendments to them so they can appear to comply to these now out-dated guidelines, that many have said for decades Australia is ministering on purpose.

Bubbles in a stock price can be based on vaporwave something that does not exist, but in Australia’s case, the Government has created the fake industry.

How Did This Happen? –

  • In 2014 Government in multiple states and federally promised medical Cannabis for the sick.
  • Then in 2015, a survey showed 94% of Australians supported medical Cannabis. The government freaked out.
  • Then spent the rest of 2015, and 2016 introducing new laws and new penalties against Cannabis federally and in the states, redefining what medical Cannabis is, redefining what hemp is, even revoking legal state licenses. All of this so Australia politicians can be seen to be fulfilling campaign promises to offer medical cannabis but making sure no one got access. Something the Australia population is only beginning to understand as “Medical Cannabis” products are being imported from Canada that most have never heard of or want in their native source country.

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  • DEFINING THE BUBBLE – WHAT IS MEDICAL CANNABIS? – Outside of Australia, it is the plant genus Cannabis L. that typically is 15% THC and 1% or less CBD. However, in 2016, multiple bills in Australia changed the definition of Cannabis to a bucket of pharma. This includes synthetics, GMO, hemp, CBD and other pharmaceuticals that contain no THC so are not Cannabis but are industrial hemp, and in the case of synthetics not even from a plant. Note: Though hemp and cannabis/marijuana are both Cannabis L, it is worth noting that Cannabis with no THC is genetically different even if the genus is the same. We know this by the work of a Dr Page on the Cannabis genome.

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http://bit.ly/Cannabis-Genome2

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DEFINITIONS – CREATING THE BUBBLE?  – By redefining Medical Cannabis this way to include only 2 groups in Australia Recreational Cannabis and EVERYTHING ELSE – This means products called CBD elsewhere are called Medical Cannabis in Australia, same goes for Synthetics, GMO, hemp and other pharmaceuticals, all called Medical Cannabis in Australia.

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LICENSING – The bubble is formed – Under the new ODC (Office of Drug Control) 2016 guidelines, licenses are only offered where there is “demand” or for R&D. “Demand” is defined is where legal conditions are allowed for legal products. This means as there are no conditions where Cannabis with THC is legal, then per the Government, there is no legal demand for Cannabis with THC (real Cannabis). Again this means the only legal medical Cannabis is not Cannabis but hemp. When the ODC was asked by yours truly if it should not be called, “Medical hemp and not Medical Cannabis”  I was told in writing and face to face,

“The definitional problem is not about the levels of THC, but rather about purpose. If a crop is grown for medicinal purposes, then it is subject to regulation by the Office of Drug Control, regardless of THC level.” – Bill Turner ODC

This was then defined into law, in 2016 in various states.

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THE BUBBLE GROWS – First government said they were now growing Cannabis, then they said they were testing the cannabis but to speed things along the would now import medical cannabis from Canada. So now any company, that has interests, in hemp, GMO, synthetics, CBD, or other pharmaceuticals that are now defined as medical Cannabis then there is a market for those products and the bubble is formed.

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GOVERNMENT INTEREST AND DILEMMA – The pharmaceutical industry has been well embedded as part of government since way before the poppy industry. The current pharma industry turnover is estimated to be worth $AUD 28.5billion annually in 2017. With 90% of OTC (over the counter) sales and prescription sales being roughly 90% for pain, and mirroring the 90% use of Medical Cannabis in countries like Canada, USA & Spain. Further data shows that a growing amount of that 90% using Medical Cannabis for pain do so for arthritic pain, and that is growing also do to an aging population.

While the real Cannabis market is expected to be worth $9.6Billion in the USA by 2020 per investment group Archview as reported by the SMH, the Australia Industry Market is at great risk from medical Cannabis. Even the Prime Minister is touched by this as Mrs Turnbull is chairman of a biotech pharmaceutical company that one of their main money makers is a product to treat melanoma (skin cancer) which was the main reason Rick Simpson Oil (RSO) was initially introduced. RSO pretty much set the dosing protocol for Cannabis treatment with 1gm a day of cannabinoids being the suggested treatment. This 1gm would typically include 70% THC and 1% CBD, beginning life as a 15% THC to <2% CBD that when converted to oil becomes the 70:1 potency used in RSO oil for a full dose.

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THE TRUTH IS STILL HERE – So now there is an entire industry formed and continues to form to support the needs of the patient that is allowed legal “medical cannabis” (but none with real Cannabis). Some estimate it will be 10 years before Medical Cannabis with Cannabis is legal others say it could be 12 months or less. With Australia’s first Cannabis bill in the Senate in NSW, if it becomes law, it means 2 important things.

  1. Medical Cannabis would contain Cannabis, and
  2. The new laws would enable a legal demand for real Cannabis for the first time.
  3. It means that where 100% of what is legal becomes 1-5% of what is actually wanted or required

THE UGLY FALLOUT –

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Companies that have all their Cannabis investment eggs in the Australia basket are typically anti-cannabis but involved with CBD, synthetic, GMO, pharma, or hemp will see an instant impact when folks learn the truth. This happens when laws for real Cannabis are passed, realised when products sold as having THC and CBD imported from Canada are extreme low dosages 1/30th or less of an RSO dosage, thus costing $7000 a month, and $350 a bottle requiring a bottle a day.  The new products were hailed as being cheaper than existing products but fail to address their very low potency that is not a natural product.

Many Companies are having to invest heavily for 1 year licenses that need sometimes a 5 year ROI (return on investment) they are counting on renewing their licenses on an annual basis, but if demand is reduced by 95% when laws change or the public become aware, then that demand could equally be reduced by 95%. Many of these businesses are tied to investments and stock prices. Some companies will spend millions on security for a product that could lose demand by 95% in the next 12 months alone.

SOME STOCKS / COMPANIES POTENTIALLY INTERESTED IN THIS – TO WATCH

Cannoperations Pty Ltd (Cann Group), Stemcell United, MMJ Phytotech, AusCann, Zelda, MGC, Tasmanian Botanic, AusCann, MediFarm, Queensland Bauxite, The Hydroponics Company (THC), EcoFibre, Lambert Hemp, UIC, ACL and others . Are they pro pharma or pro-patient (supporting real Cannabis products with THC over 10%)

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THE PHARMA MISDIRECTION – As we see new products meeting Australia standards entering the marketplace, it is worth noting the deception. One brand mentions their product is 18% THC and less than 1% CBD, yet does not get you high, how is this possible? A close look shows that the product is an isolate. It started life as Cannabis but then it is so diluted and dissected that a whole bottle is equal to 1gm or 1000mg of Cannabinoid. Real Cannabis products would be 30,000mg or 30gm per bottle with the dosage being 1gm a day or less depending on the condition. – Pharma and importers are failing to address this.

 WHAT STOCKS / COMPANIES SURVIVE / DO BEST – If a law passed tomorrow, that legalised real Cannabis, then the demand for the current legal Medical Cannabis potentially goes away by 90-95%. What would survive would be those that had R&D cannabis in the ground or available, that people would want or those that survive offering full spectrum Cannabis that was CBD dominant, but with THC above 1%, an actual growing market trend globally.

Fixing The Laws – Supporting an existing Bill – Currently,  in NSW there is a framework Bill that legalises Cannabis for those with serious illnesses. It is a more relaxed view of the current laws supporting patients and not Pharma interests. It does not address the many problems in other bills but does a few smart things also. 1) Creates a legal  “demand” for real Cannabis products, vs pharma. 2) Protects patients, allows grow your own, make your own medicine, nominate a caregiver, or buy from the black market while supply is worked out. 3) Bypasses the process or need for the TGA for medicine, as the TGA is federal. 4) Creates a framework used in other countries but can be cut and paste into other states also.

Possible Constitutional Challenges – As most ignore the many new laws and bills against Cannabis patients, that passed in 2016, they even more so ignore, the 1974 era Royal Commission on Drugs. The writings of this focused that the UN Act, on Cannabis addresses the prevention of trafficking, not personal use or medical use. The summation was that Australia is hiding behind the Act and choosing to misinterpret and incorrectly enforce laws based on it. Now 43 years later we see Canada, USA, Jamaica, South Africa, Israel, Netherlands, Mexico, and others either amend the Act or ignore it. It has been suggested for some time that a fresh interpretation of C109 and c117 of the Australian constitution offers good directions in the lack of uniformity in laws and prejudice against what state or even how large you are in respect to saliva testing are all worthy of being addressed.

Targeting Legal Challenges – One of my idols, / mentors into Cannabis Law Reform is Keith Stroup NORML. He said it well, “It is about wins, small wins or big wins, you need to chip away at the laws”. Rallys and protests are fine but they are part of the journey, not the end.

To fix the laws, funding or crowdsourcing funding for those legal challenges if needed but they need to be about patient rights, not pharma rights and protection. 

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Safe and Legal – The Simple Misdirection by the Australian Government and Media in their war against THC and Full Spectrum Cannabis

Loren W
15 August 2016
Melbourne Australia (earth)

Safe and Legal – The Simple Misdirection by the Australian Government and Media in their war against THC and Full Spectrum Cannabis

In the English speaking world and beyond, the words “hemp”, “cannabis”, and “marijuana”
are well understood in their meaning. Australia never a country of conformity, choose via their government to do things slightly differently.
well very differently.

In Australia, according to a recent (2015) poll (1), 91-94% of the population support the use of Cannabis for medicinal purposes. Unfortunately, only 5% or less of the politicians agree with the people that they are supposed to be representing.

Also, the public do not have billions at risk in the pharmaceutical industry where Australia’s own opioid industry alone is the largest of its kind in the world, and a perhaps well servicing prime minister whose own wife is the chairman of a pharmaceutical company herself for almost 6 six years and is known to be “out of alignment” with his own party. Malcolm Turnbull is the richest prime minister in Australian history and the 2nd richest ever parliamentarian only being surpassed by billionaire Clive Palmer.

The result is the government then has a self-imposed challenge, how to follow the “will of the people, and legalise medical Cannabis but prevent anything that gets you “high” in medicine or worse recreational use.

Australia’s  War on Drugs Evolved for 2016

If you were to google “safe and legal cannabis” you would be very lucky to not pull up many articles on medical Cannabis in Australia. Australia has chosen to narrow the fight on Cannabis in Australia a few simple ways.

  • Refine the word “cannabis” in state and federal bills from a plant to a “suite of products and things”. Depending on the state this can be GMO, synthetics (not from a plant), and even opioids and “anything that acts like Cannabis”. All in the public record (Hansards)
  • Redefine “hemp” from cannabis below 2% THC to cannabis below 1% THC (so far in states, NSW and QLD) and force the eradication of all crops that do not meet this criterion
  • Make sure all licenses, bills, acts and legislature offer alternatives to natural cannabis products by introducing pharmaceutical alternatives with no THC and call it medical Cannabis in line with the new and improved definitions.
  • With media controlled by government sound-bites, maintain the gag order not letting press or the public be aware of the changes unless the public gets the word out themselves or are looking at the latest bills that are all public record.
  • Announce to the Country and many times that medical Cannabis is now legal or about to be legal ignoring that the “medical Cannabis” as some of the videos from the pharmaceutical company’s joke themselves, “Spending millions, on medical Cannabis trials, and testing, using “no Cannabis”.
  • Ignore that all the new pharmaceutical products being manufactured, or imported that are to be trialed or tested on mostly children, have a high failure rate, do not have THC, and have a high rate of SAE’s (serious side effects) and recently reported deaths during the trials. Something Cannabis has never had.
  • Reduce the benchmark of what trafficking is so as to include self-grows, and increase penalties for medical cannabis patients, growers, and caregivers and not tell the public (passed in state Victoria in Feb 2016) 33-6.

A recent impact of this was the recent bill that passed supposedly against 100% ICE, a real issue in Australia, was actually about Medical Cannabis and the video the journalist used was slightly edited, to make it appear it was about ICE and not Cannabis and the bill passed virtually undebated.  The journalist when asked why he lied in a story this week “It is not a lie even if the story is false, if I did not know it was false”. The journalist in question a senior political contact, Richard W in Australia, on being notified of the mistruth not only did nothing about it, but continued the trend of “mistruths” recently in another story. Journalists in Australia are not required to remember what they say in phone conversations, or remember facts if not addressed in a sound bite. Ethics it would seem is too “old school”.

How Would Australia Pull Off Such a Show that is Well Under Way Safe and Legal – The Governments gateway words to Australian Cannabis Prohibition

Ask any politician in Australia and if they have read the script their answer is very simple and they are spending millions on the outcome of the performances.

“Young Johnny, did so well on illegal unsafe, crude, black market, illegal cannabis, we are going to change the laws so this does not happen again and give them safe and legal medical cannabis”.

To the 94% of the public that support medical Cannabis most of them will take these words and stories in the media at 100% face value. Those that have followed the bills know what that really says and what has really happened. The new laws are steeper penalties and the new legal products have been promised for years but anything with THC still remains illegal.

The government has declared THC is illegal, so the only thing that is legal are pharmaceuticals. Mainly Epidiolex from GW Pharma, that are leading all the research in Australia and training and overseeing all the government research. GM is distributed by Novartis, a $174B (AUD) pharmaceutical giant. This combined with Bayer AG being the largest distributor of GM Pharma in the World, and about to purchase Monsanto, some of the concerns around medical Cannabis are embedded and old for Australia but new and fresh for other countries.

To those that understand the truth, seeing the state premiers pose with Cannabis that has no THC, and has little medical value

What Happened and Now What ?

Federally, Ten years later in 2006, the FDA legalised GMO Cannabis by GW Pharma with support from Bayer AG. Overall this had little impact at the time. Jump ahead another 10 years to 2016 and the pharmaceutical industry is long embedded in the Australian government.

Australia exports around $5billion in pharmaceuticals every year and trunsover around $23billion every year. – www.bit.ly/aus-opiates

 Medical Cannabis was legalised in California USA in 1996, it was not pretty, it was not perfect but it stuck. It has continued by various US states in defiance of the UN Single use act, and why Cannabis is still federally illegal in the USA. That illegality is how some countries such as Australia choose to enforce Cannabis prohibition under the banner global responsibilities.

Back in 1984 (ironic) there was a Royal Commission in the Australian aptly known state of South Australia also known as the Sackville Commission, it essentially said Australia was misinterpreting, misinforming, and incorrectly enforcing the UN Single use act specific to personal use of Cannabis. The UN though some say not clear enough, essentially said personal use was not the issue trafficking was. This left Australia with some suggestions, mainly to allow personal use and decriminalize Cannabis. Unfortunately, the suggestions were voted down and though Australia did slightly decriminalize Cannabis as a result in the state of SA, it created nationally an exercise that goes on today to lower the benchmark of what trafficking is.  This means though growing cannabis for medicine and with very few plants are guilty of trafficking. States have also made changes to bills and acts, to create new laws on encouraging trafficking. This means if you visited a website that talked about how to grow a single plant, and then sent a link in an email to a friend, you are guilty of 2 serious crimes with stiff penalties, 1) encouraging trafficking by viewing a story (a 5-year penalty) and contributing to trafficking by sending the email an additional 10-year penalty. It is not clear how the laws will be enforced but frequent arrests by those that use social media to sell or just discuss issues has risen sharply from 2015 to 2016

Pharmaceutical Industry Turnover in Australia

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Source: Australian Government Department of Industry- Pharmaceutical Division

 

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GMO depending on your view of the world is bad good or doesn’t matter.  Visiting a large superstore selling USA GMO strawberries, all identical all the size of a small lemon, and all tasting more like strawberries than you have ever tasted before may be viewed as not so bad by many.

Off on research to Germany, & Amsterdam I need to explain the messed up world of Medical Cannabis in Australia, as simple as possible as my German is “scheiße”.

Before I do I need to give mention to the US DEA, that recently rejected re-scheduling. Podcaster and UFC great Joe Rogan recently got it pretty spot on. Research in the USA uses primarily the gold standard or Cochrane test (no not the guy that discovered “Space Warp” on star trek).

The Cochrane standard is used to reference a series of tests over 3-5 years addressing

However it is worth noting the Cochrane test has passed serval drugs used for “Cannabis addiction”
They see no benefit in Cannabis but do so in treating addiction (starting to see a trend here)?

Cannabis and Schizophrenia –
There are 2 trails to this particular fuckery. In the UK at one time (2014) some folks in Liverpool England laced cannabis with PCP and heroin. Apparently these added “special ingredients” acted different to real Cannabis alone (DOH! ). http://bit.ly/laced-skunk . This gave the strain of “skunk” a new meaning to deadly weed in the UK. One story also came out said, “ Some folks that smoke cannabis also become paranoid” (did not say for a  for a short period of time). The story was then “Paranoia, is a mental disorder that includes psychosis and …. (wait for it) … Schizophrenia”. SO the story created a “bucket” of mental disorders, that they included paranoia,  Schizophrenia and psychosis.